DPO

Summary

Chain-of-thought is powerful, but which chain? Short explanations work for easy tasks, long reflections help on hard ones, and code sometimes beats them both. What if your model could adaptively pick the best strategy, per task, and improve as it learns?

The Adaptive Reasoning Model (ARM) is a framework for teaching language models how to choose the right reasoning format direct answers, chain-of-thoughts, or code depending on the task. It works by evaluating responses, scoring them based on rarity, conciseness, and difficulty alignment, and then updating model behavior over time.

Summary

Forecasting future events is a critical task in fields like finance, politics, and technology. However, improving the forecasting abilities of large language models (LLMs) often requires extensive human supervision. In this post, we explore a novel approach from the paper LLMs Can Teach Themselves to Better Predict the Future that enables LLMs to teach themselves better forecasting skills using self-play and Direct Preference Optimization (DPO). We’ll walk through a Python implementation of this method, step by step.